Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.548579 0.606289 0.668514 0.740764 0.822551 0.912499 1.019231
2025-09-21 0.449704 0.528009 0.618804 0.732559 0.872241 1.039413 1.256506
2025-09-28 0.382815 0.467204 0.569752 0.704847 0.880080 1.102381 1.410079
2025-10-05 0.352639 0.444503 0.560627 0.720309 0.937522 1.227625 1.652907
2025-10-12 0.327879 0.424702 0.551265 0.731838 0.987868 1.345741 1.898233
2025-10-19 0.305517 0.405151 0.539232 0.736825 1.027506 1.450821 2.136039
2025-10-26 0.286335 0.387755 0.527838 0.740414 1.063855 1.553102 2.381081
2025-11-02 0.270943 0.374058 0.519954 0.747488 1.104868 1.665380 2.655683
2025-11-09 0.250980 0.352087 0.498043 0.730961 1.106782 1.714778 2.829836
2025-11-16 0.239497 0.341554 0.491966 0.737797 1.145822 1.827948 3.130064
2025-11-23 0.226111 0.327136 0.478756 0.731848 1.162630 1.904383 3.372876
2025-11-30 0.216337 0.317480 0.472042 0.735545 1.195559 2.011779 3.689409
2025-12-07 0.203865 0.303030 0.457056 0.724724 1.202973 2.075382 3.932354
2025-12-14 0.193090 0.290607 0.444496 0.717001 1.215174 2.149356 4.209162
2025-12-21 0.179448 0.272761 0.421891 0.689982 1.189230 2.146673 4.319793
2025-12-28 0.174984 0.269512 0.423166 0.705053 1.243312 2.307707 4.822155
2026-01-04 0.170128 0.265283 0.422430 0.716291 1.290918 2.461095 5.334760
2026-01-11 0.164513 0.259426 0.418468 0.721152 1.326220 2.592672 5.818973
2026-01-18 0.159066 0.253529 0.414019 0.724649 1.358930 2.722405 6.323381
2026-01-25 0.154516 0.248905 0.411494 0.731544 1.399211 2.873904 6.915750
2026-02-01 0.146806 0.238369 0.397728 0.715436 1.389060 2.908017 7.191916
2026-02-08 0.142907 0.234343 0.395547 0.722099 1.428790 3.064734 7.850930
2026-02-15 0.137506 0.227361 0.387503 0.716301 1.440317 3.154442 8.330859